At least 90 people have died and another 12 are missing after days of heavy rain in Vietnam led to flooding and landslides.
The
Vietnamese government says 186,000 homes have been damaged across the
country, with more than three million livestock swept away. Officials
estimate there has been hundreds of millions of pounds worth of damage.
The
mountainous province of Dak Lak has been severely impacted, recording
more than 60 deaths since 16 November, according to news agency AFP.
The floods are the latest extreme weather event to hit Vietnam in recent months, after typhoons Kalmaegi and Bualoi hit the country within weeks of each other.
Some 258,000 people were without power
on Sunday morning and sections of major motorways and train tracks were
blocked, officials said.
Military and police resources have been mobilised to assist in the hardest hit areas.
The
government said the most severe impacts had been observed in five
provinces - Quang Ngai, Gia Lai, Dak Lak, Khanh Hoa, and Lam Dong -
clustered in south and south-central Vietnam.
Mach
Van Si, a farmer in Dak Lak, told AFP: "Our neighbourhood was
completely destroyed. Nothing was left. Everything was covered in mud."
Prime
Minister Phạm Minh Chính chaired a virtual emergency meeting on Sunday
morning from South Africa, where he had been attending the G20 summit.
Rainfall
had exceeded 1.5m (5ft) in several areas leading up to Friday, with
some areas surpassing a 5.2m level not seen since 1993. The rain is
forecast to ease in the coming days.
Scientists
say that Vietnam has been left more exposed to extreme weather events
by human-driven climate change, which has made typhoons stronger and
more frequent
A dark geometric sprawl breaks up an expanse of ocher-hued
sand in Saudi Arabia. Close up, the structure is made up of row after
row of solar panels, glimmering in the intense sun as it beats down on
this scrubby, arid land about 60 miles south of the city of Jeddah.
Al Shuaibah 2 is Saudi Arabia’s largest solar farm, with a
capacity of more than 2 gigawatts, enough to power around 350,000 homes.
But it won’t keep its crown for long. Even larger installations are
already in development as mega solar farms proliferate across the
country’s desert lands.
“There is a solar boom, no one can deny that,” said Nishant
Kumar, renewable and power analyst at the research firm Rystad Energy.
Saudi Arabia has pledged to generate 50% of its electricity from
renewable sources by 2030 and the race is on to meet it.
At first glance, it may seem an unlikely reinvention; this
is oil country after all. Saudi Arabia boasts the world’s second-largest
oil reserves, is the largest oil exporter and has consistently pushed back
against global efforts to move away from fossil fuels. But what’s
happening here shows even the planet’s ultimate petrostate is making a
bet on clean energy — just as the Trump administration seeks to strangle
it.
The pace of Saudi Arabia’s solar boom has been breathtaking.
“No country is going faster,” said Dave Jones, co-founder of the
climate think tank Ember.
In 2020, the country had next to no renewables. By the end of this year,
it’s predicted to have 12 gigawatts of solar, Kumar told CNN. Saudi
Arabia has added so much in 2025 that it’s broken into the top 10 global
markets for annual new solar for the first time, according to
BloombergNEF data.
The boom shows no signs of slowing. ACWA Power, the
country’s utilities giant, which jointly owns the Al Shuaibah complex,
announced in July — along with companies including state-owned oil and
gas firm Saudi Aramco — an investment of $8.3 billion into 15 gigawatts of renewables, dominated by solar.
By 2030 solar will be growing “at a very fast pace,” Kumar
said. Rystad projects more than 70 gigawatts will be installed by the
end of the decade. “On top of that, they’re installing onshore wind as
well,” he added.
Arrays of solar panels help power the Jazlah Water Desalination plant in Jubail, Saudi Arabia, in 2024.
Iman Al-Dabbagh/The New York Times/Redux
It’s a striking move for a country built on oil. “Black
gold” funded Saudi Arabia’s transition from nomadic desert country to a
significant global power in just decades.
But experts say its solar surge makes sense for several
reasons, one of the biggest being economics. Simply put: it’s cheap.
“Solar is so cost competitive, it makes financial sense,”
said Karen Young, a senior research scholar at the Center on Global
Energy Policy at Columbia University. This is especially true given the
accelerating electricity demand in the kingdom, driven by cooling needs
and water desalination.
Costs of solar have plummeted thanks to a flood of cheap
Chinese-made solar panels into the market. The last two years have seen
“just unprecedentedly low prices,” Ember’s Jones said. Battery costs
have fallen, too, with average prices dropping by 40%
in 2024 alone, according to Ember. Batteries make solar, which is
otherwise only available when the sun shines, more flexible and even
more attractive.
And solar suits Saudi Arabia: The sun reliably shines
throughout most of the year, it has cheap and plentiful land, and grid
connection is inexpensive, as there is space for huge solar farms near
big cities, Jones said.
The country also benefits from economies of scale. “All of
their installations are vast” allowing them to negotiate down equipment
and construction costs, said Abdullah Alkattan, Middle East and North
Africa energy transition analyst at BloombergNEF.
Another key reason for Saudi Arabia’s renewables push,
experts say, is to displace oil from electricity generation at home —
and instead sell it overseas.
Under its Vision 2030 strategy, aimed at diversifying its
economy away from reliance on oil, Saudi Arabia pledged to source 50% of
its electricity from clean energy and 50% from gas by the end of this
decade.
There are big economic drivers for this. Burning oil
domestically is inefficient and taking it out of the electricity mix
frees it up to be sold on global markets, Alkattan said. “That’s where
the profit is.”
This doesn’t mean climate considerations are absent from the
country’s clean energy policies, Alkattan added. “To argue that ‘50%
renewables, 50% gas’ is the cheapest electricity system available to
Saudi Arabia is false,” he said. “This is part of the Saudi green
initiative.”
Some experts, however, urge caution about the extent of
Saudi’s solar ambitions. “It is significant in the sense that they were
doing absolutely nothing… and then in the last couple of years, you
could really see a shift,” said Ana Missirliu, a climate policy analyst
at Climate Action Tracker, which monitors governments’ climate policies.
“But I would say, compared to what’s needed, it’s really still very,
very insufficient,” she told CNN.
Saudi Arabia’s overall climate policies and action are rated “critically insufficient”
by CAT. Renewables only made up around 2% of Saudi Arabia’s electricity
mix at the end of 2024, Missirliu said. Large amounts have been added
through 2025 but she believes the 2030 target is far from feasible.
Others take a more optimistic view. Rystad projections show
Saudi Arabia is on track to get more than a third of its electricity
from renewables by 2030 and that its 50% goal will be achievable a few
years later.
Saudi’s solar aspirations can still send a message, regardless of
whether the renewables goal is met, Missirliu said. “Even a petrostate
like Saudi Arabia knows and recognizes that renewables are unavoidable.”
It’s a striking contrast to what’s currently happening in the US, where the Trump administration is trying to strangle solar and wind projects in the name of “energy dominance,” a strategy that is shorthand for ramping up fossil fuels only.
Saudi Arabia’s approach is “truly an ‘all of the above’
energy strategy, which is where (it) is actually more engaged on clean
tech and renewables than the US (is now),” Columbia University’s Young
said. The country is also interested in developing a domestic solar
manufacturing supply chain, including battery storage, and producing
electric vehicles, she added.
This attraction to clean energy isn’t just a Saudi
phenomenon. Other Middle East countries are building out renewables,
including the United Arab Emirates and Oman. Even Iran, another major
petrostate with huge oil and gas reserves, is turning to solar in an
attempt to navigate power crunches linked to aging infrastructure,
mismanagement and sanctions.
None of this signals the end of the fossil fuel era,
however, not least in Saudi Arabia. There might be a solar surge, but
the country remains a petrostate.
Saudi Arabia is still planning to get 50% of its electricity
from planet-heating natural gas, for example, “so we are seeing a surge
in gas capacity,” Kumar said. Power consumption in the kingdom is also
increasing so quickly that even with the rush of renewables, it’s not
yet displacing large amounts of fossil fuels, he added.
Meanwhile, the country remains a standard-bearer for oil,
both in business and at the diplomatic negotiating table. Saudi Arabia,
along with the US, played an important role in helping scupper a tax
on the shipping industry’s climate pollution last month. It may be
solar domestically, Kumar said, but “globally, they are pushing that oil
is not going to go anywhere.”
As COP30 unfolds in Brazil, experts will be watching Saudi
Arabia closely. The country “has always had a very disruptive role in
climate negotiations,” said Missirliu. Whether that might now shift “is
still something that we are waiting to see.”
China is home to six out of the 10 largest battery makers in the world (Credit: Alamy)
by Xiaoying You
In
2005, China only had two EV battery manufacturers. Twenty years later,
it produces more than three-quarters of the world's lithium-ion cells.
How did it happen?
At the 2008
Beijing Olympics, athletes, journalists and officials from all over the
world were transported by a fleet of sleek buses sporting a white, blue
and green design as they zipped between different venues in the Chinese
capital.
Different from the diesel-powered vehicles that ruled Beijing's streets at the time, the Olympic buses, numbering around 50, ran on lithium-ion batteries to help Beijing host a "green and high-tech"
Olympic Games. It also marked the country's first foray into creating a
lithium-ion battery industry for electric vehicles (EVs), laying the
groundwork for China's ascension to world leader of this technology two
decades later.
The Olympic e-bus
campaign had been set in motion as soon as Beijing won the bid in 2001,
according to a 2020 documentary aired by China's state media. But
developing and producing EV batteries for the global event was no easy
feat.
The buses at the Beijing Olympics marked the China's first foray into
creating a lithium-ion battery industry for electric vehicles (Credit:
Getty Images)
In
late 2003, Mo Ke and his colleagues at the Beijing New Materials
Development Centre – a government-affiliated research institute – were
tasked to analyse China's lithium battery industry as part of Beijing's
preparatory work for the Olympics.
But
back then, China's lithium battery industry was "very small" with only
two EV battery producers, as Mo's team found. In 2005, they hosted
China's first conference for the lithium battery industry as a part of
their research.
"All companies in the industry came, but there were only around 200 people in total," Mo says.
At the time, CATL, the world's current largest EV battery maker, was a department of ATL, a Japanese-owned company that made lithium batteries for electronic gadgets. BYD, the world's current second-largest
EV battery maker and a leading EV maker, had just entered the auto
industry after earning its first barrel of capital by supplying
batteries to phone giants.
What led to its meteoric rise? The answer lies in a combination of factors.
Two
of them are a huge domestic market "walled off and preserved" for local
firms and coordinated government support across the supply chain, says
Xie Yanmei, an independent analyst of Chinese political economy and
industrial policy. Consumer subsidies, state-sponsored rollout of charging networks and a policy mandating automakers to make EVs also helped, she notes.
But
policy is only part of the story. Chinese companies also proved adept
at large-scale production and controlling cost – both key to EV battery
manufacturing.
"They have strong
survival instinct and will proactively explore new ideas to help them
stay competitive," says Song Xin, who advises Chinese companies ranging
from car to robot makers aiming to go global. "This is the foundation of
the industry's continuous growth."
International roots
The
story of lithium batteries began beyond China's shores about 50 years
ago with three chemists: British-American Stanley Whittingham, American
John Goodenough and Japanese Akira Yoshino.
Their separate research – which earned them a joint Nobel Prize in 2019 – rode on each other's strength and led to the invention of the first commercially viable lithium-ion battery in 1985, built by Yoshino for Tokyo-based chemical company Asahi Kasei.
In 1991, Japanese electronics company Sony worked with
Asahi Kasei to bring the world's first lithium-ion batteries to the
market. Five years later, Nissan teamed up with Sony to launch the world's first car powered by a lithium-battery.
In
the following decade, Japan was the global number one lithium-ion
battery producer, with South Korea keenly vying for supremacy. At the
turn of the century, Japanese firms accounted for a staggering 93%
of the global market share, with electronics company Sanyo leading the
charge. It wasn't until 2011 that South-Korean Samsung SDI overtook Japanese Panasonic to top the chart.
" Chinese policy makers decided that EVs could be an opportunity for the Chinese auto industry to leapfrog the west – Xie Yanmei "
When
Mo was researching China's lithium battery industry in the early 2000s,
Mengguli and Wanxiang were the only two companies making EV batteries
in the country.
"They supplied most of the batteries for
the e-buses that served the Beijing Olympics and the World Expo in
Shanghai in 2010," says Mo, now the founder and chief analyst of Chinese
battery-research firm, RealLi Research.
But before the Olympics, China had already planned a long game. In 2006, its cabinet launched a science and technology scheme
that would cover the next 15 years. It included "low-emission and
new-energy vehicles [NEVs]" as one of the 62 priority areas the country
should pursue, and listed "rechargeable power battery" as a key
technology for this area. NEVs, a term frequently used by the Chinese
government, refers to pure electric, plug-in hybrids, and fuel cell
vehicles powered by alternative fuels such as hydrogen and methanol.
China's goal was clear: to upgrade its vast manufacturing industry by 2020 so that it would stop relying on cheap labour and start winning with technological advantages.
Chinese companies proved adept at large-scale production and controlling
cost – both key to manufacturing EV batteries (Credit: Alamy)
In 2009, with a smooth run of the Olympics e-buses in the bag, China made a major move to "adjust and revitalise" its auto industry.
For
years, Beijing had tried but failed to be a global contender in the
conventional auto industry that featured internal combustion engines.
But it believed it was time for a reboot.
"Chinese
policy makers decided that EVs could be an opportunity for the Chinese
auto industry to leapfrog the west, because it was like a blank field
where everybody was starting from scratch," says Xie.
A national plan
guided regional governments to build supply chains and charging
networks for NEVs. It also supported domestic companies to spearhead the
research and development of technologies related to EVs, including
batteries.
In the same year, the country began its large-scale rollout of new-energy buses, with the "10 Cities and Thousand Vehicles" programme.
Sluggish American competition
In
Mo's view, China's determination to promote EVs was vital for its
battery ascension, and that vision was partly inspired by the US.
As early as 1990, California launched a zero-emission vehicle (ZEV) programme to improve air quality by encouraging the adoption of EVs. The programme led to the introduction of ZEV mandate,
which essentially forced car companies like General Motors to invest in
EVs, says Anders Hove, senior research fellow at the Oxford Institute
for Energy Studies in the UK.
Actions
on the other side of the ocean led the Chinese government to realise
that EVs were "a stepping stone" to what was later described as the "fourth industrial revolution" – an era characterised and driven by digital technologies – and China wanted a place in it, according to Mo.
But
the EV push by California did not lead to the establishment of a US
lithium-ion battery industry, partly because car and oil companies
lobbied California to "water down" the ZEV mandate to give more support
for fuel cells powered by hydrogen and hybrid cars, whose batteries used
non-lithium chemistries, Hove says.
China produces more than three-quarters of all lithium-ion batteries worldwide (Credit: Getty Images)
In the 2000s, the George W Bush
administration introduced measures to fund the research and development
of EVs. US startups made major progress on both batteries and cars,
Hove says, but then came the financial crisis in 2008.
"[The
first wave of US startups] all ran into a lot of financial difficulty
and the window kind of closed on investing in clean energy," Hove says.
"All the people who had invested in that, they were burned."
In the following year, the Obama
administration launched a new round of funding, but it was too late to
save that first wave of renewable companies from collapsing or selling
their technologies, Hove says. Many of them were bought by Chinese
firms, according to him, including battery company A123, a rising-star
that boasted advanced lithium-ion battery technology developed at MIT. A123 was acquired by China's Wanxiang in 2013.
At
the same time, China launched an enormous four-trillion-yuan (roughly
£394bn or $649bn then) stimulus plan to counter the impact of the global
financial crisis and part of it was directed towards "energy-saving and
emissions-reduction" projects. The move ignited the country's interest
in renewable technologies, including NEVs, according to a 2010 report published by the World Wide Fund for Nature (WWF) and China's Research Institute of Resources and Environment Policies.
China's industry snowballs
The
years between 2012 and 2020 proved to be critical for China's battery
makers as the government doubled down its effort in putting EVs on the
road.
An industrial roadmap
for new-energy vehicles set targets on the number of EVs the country
should deploy over the period. More importantly, it also set technical
requirements for EV and battery manufacturers to apply for state support
– a push for them to grow. In 2013, China made EV purchase subsidies available to individual consumers, not just the public sector, opening the floodgate to private car ownership.
The
scale of the state backing was enormous. In 2014, China's central and
regional governments spent nearly 10bn yuan (roughly £986m or $1.6bn
then) on subsidies, according to a report at the time. Over the next eight years, the country would go on to hand out 200bn yuan (£21bn or $28bn) in tax rebates in total for new-energy vehicles.
The
investment yielded almost instant result. Both the number of NEVs
produced and sold in the country grew more than threefold in 2014 and 2015,
according to the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers, a trade
body. Their market share would snowball from 1.3% in 2015 to 41% in
2024.
But a bigger boost for the battery industry was yet to arrive. In 2015, China introduced a key rule
that – in Xie's words – "walled off" its huge domestic market for
Chinese battery firms. EV makers were mandated to use batteries produced
by one of the selected suppliers if their cars were to qualify for
consumer subsidies. All of the 57 companies that appeared on a
government "white list" turned out to be Chinese.
"It
was very cleverly designed technical specifications that narrowly
defined that only Chinese battery companies would be eligible," Xie
says. At that time, some South Korean companies had already started
building factories in China, "only to find out that they were completely
shut out the market", she adds.
Those
Chinese EV makers that had been using foreign suppliers had to make a
last-minute switch to battery manufacturer CATL and few other domestic
firms complied with the policy, The Economic Observer reported. That rule ended up lasting four years.
In the fast lane
A sudden influx of new customers propelled CATL – which split from ATL in 2011
– to become the world's largest EV battery producer in 2017, based in
Ningde, China, beating Panasonic and its compatriot BYD, Chinese news
site Caixin reported. CATL has held the title since.
The policy drive continued with the "Made in China 2025"
strategy, which aimed at helping the country "grab the global vantage
point for manufacturing" by the mid-2020s through technological
innovation. NEVs were listed as a "key area" the country should
"vigorously promote".
Riding on the momentum, China introduced a "dual-credit" system for automakers in 2017. Partly based on California's ZEV programme, the policy
essentially demanded that all automakers in China produce EVs to
"balance off" the conventional cars they made through a complex formula.
A "one-way street" design pushed automakers to make more EVs in order to avoid unnecessary cash spending.
Chinese manufacturer CATL became the world's largest EV battery producer in 2017 (Credit: Getty Images)
"As an automaker, on the one hand, you
had to produce EVs in China or face a [financial] penalty. On the other,
the EVs you were forced to produce would not sell without Chinese
batteries," Xie explains. "So, every automaker, Chinese, Korean,
Japanese, Americans, Germans, had to use Chinese batteries."
The
ballooning and protected market allowed CATL to work with advanced
Western car makers on joint innovation. The process "quickly brought up
its skill and capability", Xie adds.
The
way China's EV and battery industries grew was also fundamentally
different from the West. The key was the close partnership between the
government and the industry, says Song, founder of Sinnvoll Global
Strategy, a think tank with offices in Beijing and Berlin.
The
government's massive investment had come with a clear goal: to build a
strong EV manufacturing industry. And that goal was delivered via fierce
competition within the industry to decide which companies or
technologies would survive and thrive, according to Song.
This
method – like running rounds and rounds of industrial-wide "horse
races" to pick the fastest – is much more effective than the
conventional model in Europe, North America and Japan, where industrial
growth is often driven by few major companies or consortiums, she
explains. "This also means that China can bring a technology from the
lab to mass production very quickly."
Secrets to success
There
are other important elements that set China's battery industry apart.
"It's the supply chain, know-how and manufacturing," says Taylor Ogan,
chief executive of Shenzhen-based Snow Bull Capital, which invests in
China's clean-tech sector.
For one,
top Chinese battery makers, such as CATL and BYD, run on a "vertically
integrated" business model, which means that they often own their
suppliers fully or partly.
"This
helps control cost and ensure the security and reliability of their
supply chains," says Chen Shan, a Shanghai-based analyst on battery
markets at Norwegian consultancy Rystad Energy.
Their capability at managing large-scale manufacturing matters enormously, too.
"Modern EV battery packs string hundreds
of small cells side by side or end by end. One weak cell would drag
down the whole chain, cut range and raise safety risks," explains Liu
Chengguang, who researches battery materials in Xi'an Jiaotong-Liverpool
University in China. "Every cell must be almost identical."
Achieving
the feat "demands massive, highly automated plants with strict process
control and real-time testing and smart sorting," he notes.
Constant innovation and targeted education has helped Chinese battery makers stay ahead of the game (Credit: Getty Images)
This is precisely the strength of CATL, which grabbed nearly 40% of the global EV battery market in 2024, more than double second-place BYD.
"The
secret to CATL's success is that it can use less money to make better
batteries while maintaining a huge manufacturing capacity," according to
Cheng Manqi, a journalist with Chinese business outlet Late Post, who
has investigated the firm.
Constant innovation is another factor helping Chinese battery makers stay ahead of the game. For example, BYD's signature "blade battery",
a lithium-iron-phosphate (LFP) battery, was launched in 2020 partly
because it was cheaper to make: the battery did not use cobalt, a
mineral for which China had to rely on imports. But BYD significantly improved the performance of previous LFPs, making them more powerful, safer and smaller. It became so popular that it altered the prevailing type of lithium-ion battery in China.
" Chinese batteries are cheaper, they are high-performing, they are available – Francesca Ghiretti "
Behind such a rapid tech revolution is a large pool of Chinese battery engineers, who came through a targeted education and vocational training system offered by colleges, universities and battery companies.
"Chinese
companies have a generation of incredibly skilled technical
researchers," says Cory Combs, head of critical mineral and supply chain
research at consultancy Trivium China.
"They
are not just PhDs who work upstream in the lab. They're not just floor
workers in the factories," says Combs. They are "practicing engineers",
who know the production processes thoroughly, understand what the market
wants and can use their knowledge to improve existing technology quicky
to win consumers. "That's what you need to make batteries cost
effective to produce," he says.
Today,
China dominates the production at every stage of the battery supply
chain, apart from the mining and processing of some raw minerals,
according to the International Energy Agency.
It is home to nearly 85% of the battery production capacity globally,
compared to North America's 5% and Europe's 7%, according to research by
consultancy Wood Mackenzie, seen by the BBC.
A
consensus among researchers is that it will be extremely difficult for
other countries to challenge China's dominance over the current
generation of battery technologies.
"Some
aspects that led to China's leadership, such as the existence of
industrial clusters and vertical integration of supply chains, will be
difficult to replicate," says Kate Logan, a director at Asia Society
Policy Institute who focuses on China's climate and clean energy
policies.
The fact that Chinese
companies have already achieved scale manufacturing batteries and are
expanding its production overseas is another huge hurdle for perspective
competitors.
"Chinese batteries are cheaper, they are high-performing, they are
available," says Francesca Ghiretti, a researcher on China and economic
security at RAND Europe, a non-profit research organisation. China's
production scale "makes it really difficult for others to catch up – not
to catch up with the technology, but the commercial success of that
technology," she says.
It will be difficult for other countries to challenge China's dominance
over EV battery technologies, experts say (Credit: Getty Images)
But in Mo's view, the door isn't
completely shut for other countries. What China is really good at is
taking existing technologies and making them better and cheaper, but the
country's weakness is in cutting-edge research, he says.
If
other countries can get ahead with next-generation battery
technologies, such as solid-state batteries, "there may still be
chances" for them to compete, Mo says. Traditional lithium-ion batteries
use a liquid electrolyte to transfer ions between the electrodes, but solid-state batteries
use a solid electrolyte. What is unique about them is that it may not
need the existing supply chain meant for liquid-based cells, potentially
opening space for non-Chinese contenders, Mo says.
Companies such as China's CATL and BYD, South Korea's Samsung SDI and the US's QuantumScape are developing solid-state batteries. But for the US – which heavily relies
on China for lithium-ion batteries at present – scaling up
manufacturing to a competitive level is expected to challenging,
according to an analysis
published by the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies. Obstacles include
lagging know-how, uncertain demand and high energy costs, the analysis said.
"It is only possible in the near term by
working with Chinese companies because they are at the forefront of the
technology," says Hove of the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies. "If
you don't have that manufacturing expertise, you won't be able to scale
up any breakthrough technology." Instead, it is the expansion of the
know-how that will enable the catch up, he says.
But
this is no easy feat, given China's 20-year lead in building a
battery-manufacturing ecosystem. For some, such as Ogan of Snow Bull
Capital, the past two decades may have sealed China's long-lasting lead
in the global battery supply chain.
"There
will not be a time that I can ever envision another country catching up
with the Chinese in terms of battery manufacturing," he says. "They're
just so much further ahead."
In Spain, intense heat waves and floods have claimed thousands of lives
in recent years. In Namibia, higher temperatures have resulted in
drought and widespread hunger. And in Haiti, Hurricane Melissa, which
was made more violent by global warming, last week killed more than 40 people.
World
leaders shared vivid stories about the increasingly severe effects of a
warming planet on Friday, the second day of the United Nations climate
summit in Belém, Brazil.
“Forests are
vanishing, water levels are rising and, in turn, peoples’ livelihoods
are being disrupted,” Salah Jama, the deputy prime Minister of Somalia,
said. “In a nutshell, we are living on a planet in crisis.”
Politicians, diplomats, scientists and business executives are gathering for the event, known as COP30, during another year of record heat and extreme weather that scientists say is being worsened by human-caused climate change.
This week, the United Nations announced that the world was far off-track
from keeping global warming well below 2 degrees Celsius, or 3.6
degrees Fahrenheit, compared with preindustrial levels. That was a goal
that virtually every country agreed to 10 years ago as part of the Paris
climate agreement.
Instead, with
heat-trapping emissions from the burning of fossil fuels and
deforestation continuing to rise, the world is on track to warm by
roughly 2.8 degrees Celsius. Scientists have said that every additional
fraction of a degree of warming brings greater risks from heat waves, wildfires, drought, storms and species extinction.
The United States is one of the few countries in the world not attending the summit.
President Trump routinely dismisses the threats posed by climate change
and is promoting fossil fuels like coal, oil and gas, while penalizing
the renewable energy industry.
The
environment minister of the small island nation of Tuvalu, Maina Vakafua
Talia, referred to Mr. Trump directly. “Tragically, the world’s largest
emitter of greenhouse gases has withdrawn from the Paris agreement,” he
said. “Mr. President, this is a shameful disregard for the rest of the
world.”
Over more than a dozen hours of speeches, other leaders of countries
around the globe focused on the very real consequences of rising
temperatures.
“All we have to do is look outside our
front doors to witness the impacts of climate change,” Kalani Kaneko,
foreign minister of the Marshall Islands, said. “The sea rises, the
coral dies and the fish stock leaves our shores for cooler waters.”
In Kenya, millions have been affected in recent years by cycles of extreme drought and devastating floods.
“As I traveled here, we’re still searching for scores of people who
went missing after a landslide affected one part of our country,”
Kithure Kindiki, the Kenyan vice president, said at the summit. “Such
incidents have become common.”
A
street in Petit-Goâve, Haiti, last month after Hurricane Melissa. An
early analysis found that climate change had made the storm worse than
it otherwise would have been.Credit...Clarens Siffroy/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images
A watering hole in the Kunene region of Namibia last month. A drought has contributed to widespread hunger in the country.Credit...Noah Tjijenda/ReutersHallo Mustafa Al Askari, the Iraqi environment minister, spoke of the
challenges facing a country where temperatures routinely approach 50
degrees Celsius, or 122 Fahrenheit.
“Water scarcity has become an existential challenge in Iraq along side waves of drought, desertification and sand and dust storms,” he said. “The crisis threatens biodiversity, agriculture and undermines the livelihoods of local communities.”
And
Bernadette Arakwiye, the Rwandan environment minister, spoke of floods
in 2023 that killed 130 people and inflicted $200 million in damages in
24 hours. “This was not an isolated tragedy, but another example of how
much damage can be done in one single climatic event,” she said.
At a time when international cooperation is flagging and many countries
are more focused on issues like trade and energy security, officials are
hoping to use the U.N. summit to direct global attention to the dangers
of climate change and the benefits of switching to cleaner forms of
energy.
“There’s
a real focus in these first few days on going back to basics, that
climate change is real and it matters,” said Kaysie Brown, the associate
director for climate diplomacy and geopolitics at E3G, a European
research and advocacy group. “That basic message can’t be taken for
granted.”
In between the warnings were calls to overhaul the modern economy
Prime
Minister Pedro Sánchez of Spain said his country was working with other
nations to place additional taxes on premium-class air travel and the
use of private jets. “This is only fair,” he said. “Everyone needs to
pay their due.” He added that he hoped to stop using public funds to
finance new fossil fuel projects.
Many leaders also called for rich nations to make more money available to developing countries.
“We
must reform the current global financial architecture to make capital
more accessible and affordable for climate action in the developing
world,” Mr. Kindiki, the Kenyan vice president, said.
The
pleas for more money come at a time when aid is tough to come by. The
amount of financial assistance that rich nations give to poor ones to
adapt to storms, heat waves and other perils of climate change dropped 7 percent in 2023, according to the United Nations Environment Program.
A
charitable fund for helping poor countries recover from extreme
disasters, announced years ago, has not yet raised $1 billion and is not yet operational. But on Thursday, a new fund for protecting forests that promises financial returns to countries that contribute money raised more than $5 billion.
The debate over financing also comes as the Trump administration has sought to undermine global climate policies.
“The behavior last month around the International Maritime Organization was shocking,” he said. “It cannot happen again.”
World
leaders also used their time to talk about issues beyond climate
change. As often happens in international forums, geopolitical rivalries
and grievances loom over every discussion, making it more difficult for
countries to reach consensus.
Shina Ansari, the Iranian vice president, assailed the attacks on her country this year by the United States and Israel.
“This
act not only violates international law and constitutes war crimes, but
has also caused extensive and lasting environmental destruction,” she
said.
Surangel Whipps Jr., the
president of Palau, and Mr. Talia of Tuvalu called on Taiwan to be more
fully integrated into the United Nations process.
President
Xiomara Castro of Honduras took aim at Israel on Thursday, the first
day of the summit. “Genocide against the Palestinian people in the Gaza
Strip cannot go unpunished,” she said.
Edgars
Rinkevics, the president of Latvia, spoke out against President
Vladimir V. Putin of Russia on Thursday. “Russia’s aggression against
Ukraine seeks to reshape the global order through conflict,” he said.
“It takes human lives and inflicts harm on nature for no good reason.”
And
Gustavo Petro, Colombia’s president, on Thursday criticized the Trump
administration’s military buildup in the Caribbean. “We have the threat
of invasion,” he said. “Invading Venezuela, or maybe threats to invade
Colombia, invade Cuba.”
An Amazon river dolphin in the Rio Negro, in Brazil’s Amazonas state, where more than 150 dolphins died in a heatwave in 2023. Photograph: Gabrielle Therin-Weise/Getty Images
Droughts and heatwaves causing water in some areas to reach 41C, killing fish and endangered dolphins, say researchers
Amazonian lakes are being transformed into
simmering basins hotter than spa baths as severe heatwaves and drought
grip the region, research shows.
The
temperature of one lake exceeded 40C (104F) as water levels plummeted
under intense sunlight and cloudless skies. The extreme heat triggered
mass die-offs among endangered Amazon river dolphins and fish, which
cannot survive in such high temperatures.
The
shallow waters of Lake Tefé, which were only two metres deep, reached
41C – warmer than an average spa bath. “We couldn’t even put our fingers
in the water. It was really hot, not just in the top bit, but right
down to the bottom,” said the lead researcher, Ayan Fleischmann, from
the Mamirauá Institute for Sustainable Development. “You put your finger
in and remove it instantaneously, it’s unbearable.”
Floating carcasses of up to 200 river dolphins
washed up over a six-week period around September 2023. No one in the
region had seen this happen over the past century, said Fleischmann. “It
was completely surreal and really scary.”
This
incident led them to look at other water bodies across the Amazon
region. Half of the 10 lakes investigated experienced exceptionally high
daytime water temperatures above 37C, according to the study, published in the journal Science.
A
satellite image from August 2024 of Lake Tefé in Brazil’s Amazonas
state, showing sandbanks exposed because of severe droughts. Photograph: European Union/Copernicus Sentinel-2/Reuters
Researchers analysed water temperatures from
central Amazonian lakes during the drought of 2023, which was followed
by another extreme drought late last year, with new record-breaking
low-water levels and severe heating of the lakes. On average Lake Tefé
reaches 30C in the hottest months, but in 2024, it hit 40C.
Amazon
lakes have been warming by 0.3 to 0.8C each decade over the past 30 or
so years – rates higher than the global average, researchers found. At
the same time, they are shrinking. During the 2024 drought Lake Tefé lost about 75% of its surface area and Lake Badajós shrank by 90%.
Adrian Barnett, senior lecturer in behavioural
ecology at the University of Greenwich, who was not involved in the
research, said: “The paper shows the extraordinary impacts climate
change is having, even on such huge ecosystems as the Amazon, and that
these are not restricted to the forests, but the aquatic realm as well.”
“A
10C increase in water temperature is unparalleled,” he said. “The
volume of energy needed to achieve this in such huge volumes of water is
jaw-dropping.”
Most fish, and the dolphins
and manatees, normally breed in the low-water season, said Barnett said,
adding that it was likely that 2023 would have been a disastrous year
reproductively for most species. “If this happens repeatedly, then their
populations and those of the species that are connected to them
ecologically, will decline severely.”
There
are few local solutions to this problem, according to Barnett.
“Something that’s happening at such a huge scale really requires a
systems approach and that means attacking the root cause of the problem,
which is fossil fuel emissions and the causes of global warming
itself,” he said.