The UK is one of the least food self-sufficient countries in Europe. Photograph: Major Gilbert/Alamy
by
Helena Horton Environment reporter
The British government should be stockpiling
food, according to a leading expert on food policy, as it is not
prepared for climate shocks or wars that could cause the population to
starve.
Prof Tim Lang of City St George’s,
University of London said the UK produced far less food than it needed
to feed itself, and as a small island that relied on a few large
companies to feed its giant population, it was particularly vulnerable
to shocks.
The first UK Food
Security Report in December 2021 found the country was 54% food
self-sufficient. Other rich countries such as the US, France and
Australia are all food self-sufficient, meaning they grow enough food to
feed their populations without imports if required.
The
UK is one of the least food self-sufficient countries in Europe. The
Netherlands, for example, which is densely populated, is at 80%, and
Spain is at 75%.
“We’re not thinking about
this adequately. We’re ducking it,” Lang said, speaking at the National
Farmers’ Union conference in Birmingham.
“The
default position that others can feed us is hardwired into the British
state system, and indeed into the nature of how agrifood capitalism
works in Britain. Others are wiser. Other countries are stockpiling,” he
said. “Other countries have much more flexibility in their systems than
we do. What we glorify as efficiency is now vulnerability.”
Other
countries have emergency stockpiles in case of war, food contamination
or climate shocks. Switzerland still has a stockpile sufficient to feed
its entire population for three months and is increasing it to a year.
The UK government’s advice to households is to have three days’ worth of
food in their cupboards.
The government has
no plans to improve the UK’s self-sufficiency, and will not set a target
for food production. The environment secretary, Emma Reynolds, said: “I
am not going to come up with a percentage. I would like us to boost
food production at home, particularly in horticulture and in poultry
where I think that there are real growth opportunities. But I’m not
going to give you a figure.”
Self-sufficiency is likely to be falling; production of wheat, beef, poultry meat and vegetables are all down in the past year.
A small gap in food supplies could have drastic consequences. Experts recently warned
that one shock could spark social unrest and even food riots in the UK,
because chronic issues had left the food system a “tinderbox”.
Lang’s
report for the National Preparedness Commission, published last year,
found that the UK’s food system is extremely vulnerable to attack due to
its concentration with a few large companies.
It found that the 12,284 supermarkets around the UK are “fed” by just 131 distribution centres.
These
were a “sitting duck” for drone or cyber-attacks by malign states, he
said: “The nine big retailers account for 94.5% of all retail food.
That’s nine companies, using just 131 distribution centres. In drone
war, that’s a sitting duck.”
According to his
report, Tesco, which provides nearly a third of UK retail food, operates
via only 20 distribution centres. He said: “When four of the 10 big
retailers account for three-quarters of retail food, if one or two of
these megafirms was hit in some way, or their tight system of
distribution centres was disrupted, the impact on the public would be
considerable.”
Lang’s report also said UK
civil defence, which involves the preparedness of the population for
shocks caused by war, received in 2021-22 the equivalent of 0.0026% of
total defence expenditure. He added: “The reality is that there are no
binding UK laws specifying duties on either central or local government
to ensure people are fed.”
Brexit has also made the UK more vulnerable to shocks, by reducing the subsidies farmers receive to produce food and making it more difficult to import food from our largest trading partner.
In the three years from January 2021, agrifood
imports from the EU fell by a three-year average of 8.71% a year,
compared with the previous three-year pre-Brexit period, according to a
University of Sussex analysis.
As climate
breakdown makes it harder to grow fruit and vegetables in southern
Europe and north Africa, due to extreme weather, countries such as the
UK which rely heavily on imports for fresh produce will suffer.
According
to the UK Health Security Agency, if the UK continues on current land
use, climate and agrifood trends, “by 2050, 52% of legumes and 47% of
fruit would be imported from climate-vulnerable countries and supply of
vegetables, fruit and legumes is projected to fall short of what would
be needed to meet UK dietary recommendations”.
This was already experienced
in 2023 when bad weather in Spain and north Africa caused a salad and
fresh vegetable shortage across the UK. More than 80% of the UK’s fruit
and more than half of its vegetables are imported.
Lang
said: “Climate change, the floods and droughts, these are part of
vulnerabilities to the just-in-time logistics system of the food system.
The key finding of my report was that we created a food system in the
name of efficiency, which is now inappropriate for where we are, a
concentration of big companies dominating, being the choke points. This
creates vulnerability. Drone warfare and software dependence make it
doubly vulnerable.”
The professor has called
for legislation from the government to ensure the food system is made
more secure and able to withstand shocks.
“I’d
like it to be a food security and resilience act, something that’s
clear about the fundamental purpose of food systems,” he said. The food
system needed flexibility rather than being a lean, just-in-time system
focused on profits alone, he added. “The purpose of food systems is to
feed people. How, what, in what circumstances, if you’re a big commodity
producer, is it really feeding people? Is it going to survive when
there are shocks?”
Lang also said the UK
needed to boost food security and produce more food at home. “We’ve got
to build up more production here, not out of petty nationalism, but out
of we’ve got good land, good people, good resources, good
infrastructure. It’s a crazy misuse of land not to do that. We’re not
getting the leadership we need from central government,” he said.