A person wears a hat while walking along the Strand in Redondo Beach, California, on 20 March 2026, during a heatwave. Photograph: Patrick T Fallon/AFP/Getty Images
Associated Press
March’s persistent unseasonable heat was so intense
that the continental United States registered its most abnormally hot
month in 132 years of records, according to federal weather data. And
the next year or so looks to turn the dial up on global warmth even
more, as some forecasts predict a brewing El Niño will reach super strength.
Not
only was it the hottest March on record for the US but the amount it
was above normal beat any other month in history for the lower 48
states. March’s average temperature of 50.85F(10.47C) was 9.35F (5.19C)
above the 20th-century normal for March.
That
easily passed the old record of 8.9F set in March 2012 as the most
abnormally hot month on record – regardless of the month of the year –
according to records released on Wednesday by the National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration (Noaa).
The average maximum temperature for March was
especially high at 11.4F above the 20th-century average and was almost a
degree warmer than the average daytime high for April, Noaa said.
Six
of the nation’s top 10 most abnormally hot months have been in the last
10 years. This February, which was 6.57F above 20th-century normal, was
the 10th highest above normal.
“What we
experienced in March across the United States was unprecedented,” said
Shel Winkley, a meteorologist with Climate Central, a non-profit science
research group.
“One reason that’s so
concerning is just the sheer volume of records, all-time records that
were set and broken during that time period,” Winkley said. “But also
this is coming on the heels of what was the worst snow year. And the
hottest winter of record.”
April 2025 to March 2026 was the warmest 12-month period on record in the continental United States, according to Noaa.
On
20 and 21 March, about one-third of the nation felt unseasonable heat
that would have been virtually impossible without human-caused climate
change, Climate Central calculated.
More
than 19,800 daily temperature records were broken for heat across the
country, according to meteorologist Guy Walton, who analyzes Noaa data.
More than 2,000 places set monthly records for heat – harder to break
than daily records – Walton calculated. That’s more March heat records
set just last month than in entire decades in the past.
All those broken records “tells us that climate change is kicking our butts”, said Jeff Masters, a Yale Climate Connections meteorologist.
“January
through March period was the driest on record for the contiguous US. So
not only was it hot, it was record dry as well,” Masters said. “And
that’s a bad combination for water availability, for agriculture, for
river levels, for navigation.”
The European
climate and weather service Copernicus and Noaa are both forecasting a
“super” strong El Niño to form in a few months and intensify into the
winter.
“A strong El Niño could plausibly push
global temperatures to new record levels in late 2026 and into 2027,”
Victor Gensini, a Northern Illinois University meteorology professor,
said.
The waters of
southern California historically warm every few years. But the marine
heatwave that started last fall wasn’t caused by tropical currents. Photograph: Kevin Carter/Getty Images
Researchers warn the high-pressure conditions could disrupt marine life and ecosystems if it continues
For more than a century, shoreline stations operated by the Scripps Institution of Oceanography have measured water temperatures along the California coast. This year, they are flashing a warning sign.
Over the last three months, several stations have repeatedly posted record-breaking daily high temperatures – with the La Jolla station registering temperatures a full 10F above historical average at one point last month.
The
waters of southern California historically warm every few years as
tropical currents make their way north, a phenomenon known as El Niño.
But the marine heatwave
that started last fall wasn’t caused by tropical currents. Instead, a
high-pressure atmospheric system – think of calm, sunny days – has
perched above southern California, warming both air and sea above
historic levels. The same phenomenon has helped fuel a ferocious
California heatwave on land.
The extended ocean warming has drawn comparisons
to “the Blob”, a three-year marine heatwave caused by similar prolonged
high-pressure conditions a decade ago that devastated marine life.
The next few weeks are likely to determine whether this marine heatwave
fizzles out or evolves into something more Blob-like, scientists say.
“The
biggest concern is how the year plays out,” Andrew Leising, an
oceanographer with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration,
said. “We could be looking at much larger impacts next fall and winter,
if it stays warm and then it’s followed by a strong El Niño.”
It’s typical in the spring for shifting
atmospheric conditions to generate north-westerly winds that push warm
surface water back out to the open ocean, allowing cooler water from
below to rise to the surface – a phenomenon called upwelling. Upwelling
brings nutrient-rich water from the depths to the surface, feeding the
phytoplankton that play a crucial role in supporting much of
California’s marine life.
Over the last few
days, high water temperatures have cooled somewhat, raising the prospect
that the heatwave may be dissipating already. It will take more time,
however, to know for sure that the heat is clearing.
“The
expectation right now is that likely the waters down to even southern
California should start cooling a little bit into next month, but it’s
not a guaranteed thing,” Leising said. “The concern is the sequence of
events and how they unfold.”
Prolonged ocean
heat has a devastating impact on phytoplankton and can cause harmful
algal blooms. Those changes can wreak havoc on many forms of marine
life, from sea lions and dolphins, to shore birds and halibut.
The Blob years led to one of the worst Dungeness crab seasons in recent
history, said Melissa Carter, a researcher at the UC-San Diego Scripps
Institution of Oceanography.
Such
heatwaves are becoming more common and lasting longer, partly because
of the slow warming of the oceans driven by the climate crisis, and
partly because of atmospheric changes that scientists are still
struggling to understand.
“The question is
what’s causing us to have these extreme warm temperatures?” Carter said.
“What are the drivers? That’s what we’re trying to find out.”
What concerns Carter is that once these
high-pressure systems establish themselves in an area, they create a
“feedback loop” that tends to reinforce warm, calm conditions, making
upwelling less likely to occur, she said.
“If
these systems do become that strong and persistent, where they come
every year, it can have the potential to shut down upwelling,” Carter
said. “Everything we think of related to the health of the ecosystems of
the west coast could be forever altered.”
The
lingering ocean heat offers a few upsides, though they pale in
comparison with the costs. The warmer water temperatures bring tuna far
closer to shore, making it easier to fish for them. Surfers and swimmers
have also enjoyed warmer water through the winter.
“I
enjoy being in the water when it’s a marine heatwave,” Carter said.
“But our ocean should not be a swimming pool. Nothing can live in a
swimming pool. That’s not what we want.”
The sun rises over
the Malle town of Ouyen, Victoria, where the temperature is expected to
peak at 49C on Tuesday. Fire danger is extreme across both Victoria and
South Australia as the climate crisis increases severe weather events. Photograph: Ellen Smith/The Guardian
Ouyen and Mildura in northern Victoria forecast to break state’s all-time maximum on Tuesday, as weather warnings issued
A day of record-breaking heat looms for Victoria, with temperatures forecast to hit 49C in the Mallee and Melbourne facing its hottest day since Black Saturday 2009.
It
was 26.1C as the sun rose on Tuesday over the small Victorian town of
Ouyen, the Mallee town of 1,170 people whose forecast high of 49C would
break the state’s temperature record of 48.8C set in Hopetoun on Black
Saturday in 2009.
The
area has not recorded a drop of rainfall all January, and only 13.6mm
in December. The fire danger rating on Tuesday was extreme.
Victoria
faced both heat and fire emergencies, Country Fire Authority chief
officer, Jason Heffernan, said. Tuesday was “not a day for complacency”,
he said, urging people to restrict any unnecessary travel.
With six major fires burning across the state,
the high to extreme fire conditions would increase the risk of fire
spread. Authorities were particularly concerned about the Carlisle River
fire in the Otways, which may pose a serious threat to homes,
properties and lives. A statewide total fire ban was in place.
Fire danger was extreme across much of South Australia,
including the eastern Eyre peninsula, mid north, Mount Lofty ranges,
Yorke Peninsula, Kangaroo Island, Riverland, Murraylands and across the
south-east. Total fire bans were in place for those districts.
Heffernan told the ABC it would be a challenging day for not only firefighters, but for Victorians generally.
Four zones around the Carlisle River fire have been asked to evacuate immediately. Heffernan said the biggest bushfire danger would come in the afternoon on Tuesday.
“We
do expect that fire will run today under the conditions, those hot
northerly winds, but it’s the change that’s going to come through about
5pm with some really punchy winds, that is likely to do most of the
damage and drive that fire further into the Otways,” he said.
“Today
is a day not to be complacent. Whilst we are focus on the Walwa and the
Carlisle River fire, to be frank, the state is very, very dry. Any fire
that takes hold will be a challenge for community.”
He said communities should take care to look after the elderly, young and infirm amid the heatwave.
January
and all-time records were expected to tumble in parts of eastern South
Australia and across Victoria on Tuesday, with temperatures approaching
50C across inland areas, according to the Bureau of Meteorology.
Ouyen and Mildura in north-west Victoria were forecast to reach 49C.
Ouyen
got close to the record just two weeks ago, peaking at 47.5C on
Thursday 8 January. Tuesday is the fifth day in a row that temperatures
there will exceed 40C – and another four days over 40C are expected to
follow, totalling a possible nine full days of extreme 40C+
temperatures.
The town of Ouyen early on Tuesday morning. Photograph: Ellen Smith/The Guardian
For many in Victoria the heatwave would be
difficult to fathom, senior meteorologist Jonathan How said. Anything
above 48C was extremely rare for the state.
Maximum
temperatures of 45C were forecast for Melbourne, up to 20 degrees above
average, and the hottest day for the city since Black Saturday saw
temperatures reach 46.4C. Play would continue at the Australian Open,
following extreme heat protocols.
On Monday, the heatwave saw Adelaide
reach 44.7C just after 5pm, the city’s hottest day since 2019, and as
high as 46.5C in the northern suburb of Elizabeth. Ceduna on the Eyre
Peninsula hit a scorching 49.5C, the town’s highest temperature recorded
in 84 years of data. There was little relief overnight, with Adelaide
waking to 35C at 6am.
Victoria’s
chief health officer, Dr Caroline McElnay, said prolonged heat,
together with high overnight temperatures, posed an increased risk of heat-related illness.
“Heat‑related illness can come on quickly, so it’s important to know the warning signs,” McElnay said.
“The
telltale symptoms include heavy sweating, dizziness, nausea, headache,
pale or clammy skin, or feeling unusually weak or confused. If someone
shows signs of heatstroke, such as very high body temperature, red hot
skin, confusion or loss of consciousness, call Triple Zero (000)
immediately.”
The City of Melbourne was ready
to provide “cool kits” containing cooling towels, water, handheld fans
and rehydration solution to vulnerable people.
A
cool change was forecast to bring some relief for coastal areas of
South Australia and Victoria, reaching Adelaide just after lunch on
Tuesday and Melbourne by about 8-9pm in the evening.
But for inland areas across Victoria, SA and New South Wales, the severe-to-extreme heat, with temperatures in the mid-to-high 40s, was expected to persist into next weekend.
Dubbo,
NSW also recorded a January record, reaching 46.1C at the airport on
Monday. More records could be broken on Wednesday as the heat moved into
inland and western NSW and north-east Victoria.
The heat tomorrow “will very much take centre stage across inland parts of New South Wales”, How said.
Australia’s
energy market operator said the power grid was prepared with sufficient
generation to meet increased demand due to the heat. Network company
Powercor urged households to prepare by charging phones and other
devices, in case of localised outages due to the bushfires or extreme
weather.
It was Australia’s second major
heatwave for January, and came off the back of one early in January,
which analysts said was made five times more likely due to global heating.
Hotter-than-average
days and nights were expected to continue until April for much of the
country, according to the latest long-range forecast. Sea surface
temperatures would remain warmer than average globally, including around
Australia.
The UK has had its hottest summer on record, the Met Office has said, after the country faced four heatwaves in a single season.
The
mean temperature for meteorological summer, which encompasses the
months of June, July and August, was 16.1C (60.98F), which is
significantly above the current record of 15.76C set in 2018.
All
five of the hottest summers on record have now occurred since 2000 – a
clear signal of the global heating that scientists say is resulting from
increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere.
The
Met Office said it had conducted a rapid analysis that found the
record-breaking summer temperatures had been made about 70 times more
likely because of human-induced climate change.
Dr Mark McCarthy, the agency’s head of climate attribution, said: “In a
natural climate, we could expect to see a summer like 2025 with an
approximate return period of around 340 years, while in the current
climate we could expect to see these sorts of summers roughly one in
every five years.
“Our analysis suggests that while 2025 has set a
new record, we could plausibly experience much hotter summers in our
current and near-future climate and shows how what would have been seen
as extremes in the past are becoming more common in our changing
climate.”
The latest record beats the last by a
wide margin. This year’s average temperature was just over a third of a
degree hotter than 2018’s previous record, while temperatures for the
other four of the five hottest summers on record differed by just
hundredths of a degree. Overall the mean temperature was 1.51C above the
long-term meteorological average.
June and
July had hot weather, with four heatwaves including days above 30C.
There has been very little rain across much of the country, with England
experiencing what the government has called “nationally significant”
water shortfalls. Much of England is under a hosepipe ban as reservoirs,
rivers and groundwater run dry.
Although
the summer has been consistently warm, there has not been extreme heat.
The highest temperature recorded to date for 2025 was 35.8C in
Faversham, Kent, on 1 July, well short of the UK’s all-time high of
40.3C, set in July 2022.
But in June alone
there were two heatwaves, making it the hottest June on record for
England and the second hottest for the UK overall. A third heatwave in
July and a fourth in August pushed the overall average temperature for
the summer into record-breaking territory.
Towards the end of June, scientists calculated that the heat endured by people in the south-east of England had been made 100 times more likely by the climate crisis.
Meteorologists have said this year’s consistent warmth was driven by dry ground from spring, high-pressure systems, and unusually warm seas around the UK, and minimum temperatures had been exceptionally above average.
The
Met Office scientist Dr Emily Carlisle said: “These conditions have
created an environment where heat builds quickly and lingers, with both
maximum and minimum temperatures considerably above average,.”
An energy company seeking to hike utility bills in New York City
by 11% disconnected more than 88,000 households during the first six
months of 2025, signaling a crackdown on families struggling to cover
rising energy costs even as the climate crisis drives extreme
temperatures.
Con Edison, the monopoly utility
that provides electricity to 3.6m homes across the country’s largest
city and neighboring Westchester county, disconnected almost 2.5% of all
its customers between January and June this year – triple the total
number of families left without power in 2024. One in five disconnected
homes remain without power for at least a week.
The
utility shut off 16,327 households in the month leading up to 25 June.
New York was hit by its first heatwave between 23 and 25 June, breaking
daytime and night-time records in Central Park and driving a surge in emergency room visits.
A construction crew from a ConEdison electric
repair team continues road work in the Chinatown neighborhood of New
York on 15 February 2025. Photograph: Robert Nickelsberg/Getty Images
New York is among the most expensive places for
electricity, with families shouldering above-inflation price hikes in
recent years on top of unaffordable housing and the broader cost of
living crisis stemming from the Covid pandemic.
In the past five years, more than 40% of New
Yorkers have fallen into arrears, and 23% of households were
disconnected at least once – leaving families without access to a
fridge, internet, cooking facilities and heat or cooling until they can
find the money to pay for reconnection.
Black
and Latino New Yorkers are more than twice as likely as white residents
to fall behind, and almost eight times more likely to have a utility
shutoff, according to the 2024 Poverty Tracker/Robin Hood report on energy insecurity.
“Disconnection
is an effective cost recovery strategy but it’s also completely
inhumane. It’s traumatizing for families and costs some people their
lives,” said Diana Hernandez, co-author of the report and associate
professor of sociomedical sciences at Columbia University.
“People want to pay their bills but they are unaffordable for too many families.”
People walk across the Brooklyn Bridge on a
day where the heat index is expected to top 100 degrees Fahrenheit in
New York on 25 July 2025. Photograph: Spencer Platt/Getty Images
Almost 16% of New York homes – one in six Con Edison residential
customers – were behind on their energy bills at the end of 2024, with
debts totaling $948m, according to data submitted by the utility to the
state regulator.
But as Con Edison ramped up disconnections over
the past six months, the debt fell to $840m by the end of June with
12.5% of New Yorkers now behind on their bills.
At
the current rate, Con Edison could disconnect 150,000 households by the
end of the year, the highest number by any utility in the country,
according to Mark Wolfe, an energy economist.
“Energy
is unaffordable so people fall behind. The disconnection numbers show
that Con Edison is aggressively cracking down, and life is going to
become harder for poor people in New York,” said Wolfe, executive
director of the National Energy Assistance Directors Association
(Neada).
Researchers at Neada, the organization for state directors of the federally funded Low Income Home Energy
Assistance Program (Liheap), collated the debt and disconnection
figures submitted to the New York Public Services Commission, the
regulator.
There is no demographic breakdown
but people of color, households with children, renters in small
buildings, and people with pre-existing medical conditions who rely on
electronic devices such as oxygen dispensers, as well as Bronx residents
are all more likely to experience energy poverty and therefore a
disconnection, the 2024 Robin Hood report found.
A
Con Edison spokesperson said: “Termination of service is a last resort,
and we do so only after extensive outreach and exhausting all other
options … nearly two-thirds of residential customers in arrears are on
payment plans. It is essential that our customers pay their bills to
maintain safe service and the most reliable system in the nation.”
Most customers were reconnected within 24 hours and 80% within a week, the spokesperson added.
A
woman uses a fan to cool off on a day where the heat index is expected
to top 100 degrees Fahrenheit in New York on 25 July 2025. Photograph: Spencer Platt/Getty Images
Nationwide, an estimated one in three households
experience energy poverty – the inability to access sufficient amounts
of electricity and other energy sources due to financial hardship.
Low-income households, people of color and states with the fewest social
safety nets are disproportionately affected, and millions of families
are regularly forced to ration food, medicines, energy and other
essentials
Across New York state – and the
country – a patchwork of regulations prevent some households from being
shut off on very hot or cold days, but millions are not protected at
all.
New York, like much of the US, is
susceptible to extreme highs and low temperatures, and the climate
crisis is driving more frequent and more intense heatwaves.
The
number of heat deaths has been rising over the past decade, and on
average 525 people in New York City die prematurely each year for
heat-related reasons – the vast majority due to the impact high
temperatures and humidity have on existing medical conditions, according
to the latest figures from the city’s department of public health.
Heat
kills twice Black New Yorkers at twice the rate of white residents due
to past and current structural racism that creates economic, healthcare,
housing, energy and other systems that benefit white people and
disadvantage people of color, the report found.
Most deaths occur in homes without access to a functioning air conditioning. Citywide, 11% of
New Yorkers do not have air conditioners at home but the rate is much
higher in low-income communities of color. One study found that a fifth
of renters do not use their air conditioner due to cost.
And
while protections have improved in recent years, it has not been enough
to shield families hit hardest by rising energy prices, rents and
inflation – or the increasingly brutal heat and humidity.
According
to its website, Con Edison currently suspends disconnections on the
hottest and coldest days based on forecasts from the National Weather
Service. In the summer, the utility will not disconnect a family the day
of or day before the heat index – what the temperature feels like when
humidity is taken into account – is forecast to hit 90F (32.2C) at
Central Park – one of the shadiest parts of the city. It also suspends
disconnections for two days after a 90F heat index day.
Yet
temperatures in some neighborhoods in the Bronx and upper Manhattan,
where there are fewer trees, less access to air conditioning, more Black
and Latino residents, and most heat deaths, exceed Central Park by 6 to
8 degrees due to the heat island effect, according to one study from 2022.
Energy poverty is a chronic problem for many New Yorkers.
A ConEdison van in the Bronx borough of New York on 20 July 2019. Photograph: David Dee Delgado/Bloomberg via Getty Images
New York state is the largest recipient of
Liheap, the chronically underfunded bipartisan federal program that
helped about 6m households keep on top of energy bills last year – and
which narrowly survived being cut completely from Trump’s 2026 budget.
In
fiscal year 2024-25, New York received $379m (almost 10%) of the total
Liheap fund, and Governor Kathy Hochul invested an additional $35m to
supplement support for heating bills in January after Liheap money ran
out with months of winter still to go.
In
the summer, the Liheap program only covers the cost of an air
conditioning unit and installation for qualifying low-income households
in New York – not energy bills. A city program can provide a
means-tested loan for working families in arrears.
Disconnections
declined during the pandemic thanks to a statewide moratorium and debt
forgiveness schemes, as well as child tax credits and a boost to food
stamps among other federal programs that helped lift millions of
Americans out of poverty. But the Covid-era social safety programs have
now all been terminated, and recent focus groups conducted by Hernandez
and her colleagues found people still struggling to recover and
rationing energy use because they were so concerned about rising bills.
“The
city has got better at advocating for households disproportionately
impacted by disconnections but it’s a drop in the bucket of where it
should be,” said Hernandez, the energy justice expert. “The 88,000
households disconnected are people who have done everything to get the
money and still couldn’t get caught up. It illustrates families have
been left completely exposed.”
Yet energy costs are about to get even higher in New York.
People cool off at a fire hydrant in New York on 25 June 2025. Photograph: Charly Triballeau/AFP/Getty Images
Trump’s One Big Beautiful Bill Act will make
electricity production more expensive, leading to residents paying $140 a
year on average more by 2030, according to analysis by Energy Innovation.
The bill also slashes benefits such as Snap (food stamps) and Medicaid,
which will put further pressure on millions of families.
Meanwhile,
Con Edison is under fire from city and state politicians including
Hochul and the city comptroller (chief finance officer) and former
mayoral candidate, Brad Lander, for requesting a rate hike of 11% for
electricity and 13% for gas, which the regulator is currently
considering. Con Ed’s proposed electricity rate hike could raise the
average household bill by $372 next year. (The utility provides gas to
1.1m homes.)
“The combination of rising
temperatures, rising electricity rates, the possible termination of the
federal Liheap program, and this increase in shutoffs by Con Ed risks
dramatically increasing heat-related illness and deaths for New
Yorkers,” Lander told the Guardian.
“There
needs to be strategies in place so that people will pay their bills –
but to punish people who are poor by cutting off their electricity ever,
but especially in extreme heat or wintertime, is inhumane. It is a form
of debtors’ prison.”
Con Edison said it
provided $311m in bill discounts to income-eligible customers last year,
and the regulator (PSC) recently expanded the Energy Affordability
Program to help more vulnerable residents.
The eastern half of the US is facing a significant heatwave, with more than 185 million people under warnings due to intense and widespread heat conditions on Monday.
The
south-east is likely to endure the most dangerous temperatures as the
extreme heat spread across the region on Monday, spanning from the
Carolinas through Florida.
In these areas, heat index values (how hot it feels once humidity is
accounted for) are forecast to range between 105 and 113F (40.5 to 45C).
Some locations in Mississippi and Louisiana face an even greater threat, with the heat index possibly soaring as high as 120F (49C).
Meanwhile,
the midwest isn’t escaping the heat. Conditions there remain hazardous
into Monday and Tuesday, after a weekend in which temperatures felt as
if they were between 97 and 111F (36 to 44C) in areas from Lincoln, Nebraska, north to Minneapolis.
Cities such as Des Moines, St Louis, Memphis, New
Orleans, Jacksonville and Raleigh are under extreme heat warnings. In
these locations, temperatures will climb into the mid-90s and low 100s,
with heat indices potentially reaching 110 to 115F.
The
most dangerous conditions, classified as level 4 out of 4 on the heat
risk scale, encompass much of Florida and extend north into Georgia
and the Carolinas. A broader level 3 zone stretches from the eastern
plains through the midwest and into the mid-Atlantic. This follows a
weekend already dominated by extreme temperatures.
Tampa experienced an unprecedented milestone on
Sunday when it reached 100F (37.8C). Other cities also broke daily
temperature records, and more are expected to follow suit.
The
dangerous heat and humidity are expected to persist through midweek,
affecting major metropolitan areas including St Louis, Memphis,
Charlotte, Savannah, Tampa and Jackson, Mississippi.
Actual air temperatures will climb into the upper 90s and low 100s,
while heat index readings are expected to remain between 105 and 115F
for several days due to high tropical moisture.
Relief
will be hard to find, even during the night. Overnight and early
morning temperatures are forecast to dip only into the 70s or above,
keeping conditions uncomfortable around the clock.
However, a cold front moving in later this week is expected to bring a drop in temperatures across the eastern US, offering a much-needed break from the extreme heat by the weekend.
Elsewhere,
triple-digit temperatures will dominate the central US. The combination
of soaring heat and dense humidity in the Mississippi River valley and
central plains could make conditions especially hazardous, with some
areas possibly seeing the heat index reach 120F.
Data suggests that there are more than 1,300 deaths per year in the US due to extreme heat, according to the Environmental Protection Agency.
While no one single weather event can be blamed on the global climate
crisis, the warming world is experiencing a greater frequency of extreme
weather incidents.
According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
(Noaa), excessive heat is already the leading cause of weather-related
deaths in the US, and the problem is only intensifying. For vulnerable
populations, such as migrants, prisoners or schoolchildren in
under-cooled buildings, the burden of rising temperatures is compounded.
Despite the increasingly crucial need to find solutions
for the rising temperatures, many US agencies are currently
understaffed due to cuts from the Trump administration and the so-called
“department of government efficiency” (Doge).
Federal
science agencies such as Noaa are now operating at reduced capacity
despite the outsized weather threats. Hundreds of meteorologists have left the National Weather Service in recent months, and several offices, including Houston, have had to scale back the services they provide.
Record-breaking extreme weather is the new norm
in the UK, scientists have said, showing that the country is firmly in
the grip of the climate crisis.
The hottest
days people endure have dramatically increased in frequency and
severity, and periods of intense rain have also ramped up, data from
hundreds of weather stations shows. Heatwaves and floods leading to
deaths and costly damage are of “profound concern” for health,
infrastructure and the functioning of society, the scientists said.
The
weather records clearly show the UK’s climate is different now compared
with just a few decades ago, the scientists said, as a result of the
carbon pollution emitted by burning fossil fuels.
The
analysis found that the number of days with temperatures 5C above the
average for 1961-1990 had doubled in the last 10 years. For days 8C
above average, the number has trebled and for 10C above average it has
quadrupled. The UK has also become 8% sunnier in the last decade.
The assessment also reported that rain had become
more intense. The number of months where counties receive at least
double the average rainfall has risen by 50% in the last 20 years. Much
of the additional rain is falling in the months from October to March.
That period in 2023-24 was the wettest ever, in records that span back
to 1767, and resulted in flooding in Derbyshire, Nottinghamshire, the
West Midlands and elsewhere.
The
sea level around the UK is rising faster than the global average, the
report said, which worsens the impact of coastal flooding.
Six hundred people are believed to have died due to the heatwave that hit England and Wales at the end of June. The soaring temperatures were made 100 times more likely by global heating, the scientists calculated. Two more heatwaves have followed in quick succession.
The government’s preparations to protect people from the escalating impacts of the climate crisis were condemned as “inadequate, piecemeal and disjointed” by official advisers in April.
Mike
Kendon at the Met Office, who led the analysis, said: “Breaking records
frequently and seeing these extremes, this is now the norm. We might
not notice the change from one year to the next, but if we look back 10
years, or 30 years, we can see some really big changes. We’re moving
outside the envelope of what we’ve known in the past.”
“The
extremes have the greatest impact for our society, if we think about
our infrastructure, our public health, and how we function,” he said.
“So this is really of profound concern.”
The assessment, called the State of the UK Climate 2024 and published in the International Journal of Climatology,
found the last three years were in the UK’s top five hottest years on
record. The warmest spring on record was seen in 2024 although this has
already been surpassed in 2025.
The UK has particularly long meteorological records and the Central England Temperature series
is the longest instrumental record in the world. It shows that recent
temperatures have far exceeded any in at least 300 years. However,
today’s high temperatures are likely to be average by 2050, and cool by
2100, the scientists said.
Sea level around
the UK has already risen by 19cm over the last century, as glaciers and
ice sheets melt and the oceans absorb heat and expand. The rise is
accelerating and is higher around the UK than globally, although
scientists are yet to work out why. It could rise by up to 200cm by the
end of the century, said Dr Svetlana Jevrejeva, at the National
Oceanography Centre.
Storm winds can push
seawater surges on to coasts and are most dangerous when they coincide
with the highest tides. “The extra sea level rise [due to global
heating] is leading to an increase in the frequency of extreme sea
levels and an intensification of coastal hazards,” said Jevrejeva. “It
is only a matter of time until the UK is next in the path of a major
storm surge event.”
While heat records are
increasingly being broken, cold weather events are becoming less common.
For example, days with air frosts have fallen by 14 per year in the
last decade, compared with the 1931-1990 average.
The
UK’s changed climate has also affected nature, the report said. The
earliest ever frogspawn and blackbird nesting was seen in 2024, in
records that began in 1999. All but one of the 13 natural events
monitored were earlier than average in 2024, from the first lesser
celandine flower to the first elder leaves. The changes mean species
that depend on others, such as for food or pollination, risk getting out
of sync, said Dr Judith Garforth at the Woodland Trust.
Prof
Liz Bentley, at the Royal Meteorological Society, said the report
showed the urgent need to make the UK resilient to climate-fuelled
extreme weather: “This report is not just a record of change, but a call
to action.”
The
thermometer of a drugstore shows the temperature of 39 degrees Celsius
(102 degrees Fahrenheit) during a heat wave, in Rome, Tuesday, July 1,
2025.
Extreme heat is a killer and its impact is becoming far, far
deadlier as the human-caused climate crisis supercharges temperatures,
according to a new study, which estimates global warming tripled the
number of deaths in the recent European heat wave.
For more than a week, temperatures in many parts of Europe
spiked above 100 degrees Fahrenheit. Tourist attractions closed, wildfires ripped through several countries, and people struggled to cope on a continent where air conditioning is rare.
The outcome was deadly. Thousands of people are estimated to
have lost their lives, according to a first-of-its-kind rapid analysis
study published Wednesday.
A team of researchers, led by Imperial College London and
the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, looked at 10 days of
extreme heat between June 23 and July 2 across 12 European cities,
including London, Paris, Athens, Madrid and Rome.
They used historical weather data to calculate how intense
the heat would have been if humans had not burned fossil fuels and
warmed the world by 1.3 degrees Celsius. They found climate change made
Europe’s heat wave 1 to 4 degrees Celsius (1.8 to 7.2 Fahrenheit)
hotter.
The scientists then used research on the relationship
between heat and daily deaths to estimate how many people lost their
lives.
They found approximately 2,300 people died during ten days
of heat across the 12 cities, around 1,500 more than would have died in a
world without climate change. In other words, global heating was
responsible for 65% of the total death toll.
“The results show how relatively small increases in the
hottest temperatures can trigger huge surges in death,” the study
authors wrote.
Heat has a particularly pernicious impact on people with
underlying health conditions, such as heart disease, diabetes and
respiratory problems.
People over 65 years old were most affected, accounting for
88% of the excess deaths, according to the analysis. But heat can be
deadly for anyone. Nearly 200 of the estimated deaths across the 12
cities were among those aged 20 to 65.
Climate change was responsible for the vast majority of heat deaths in
some cities. In Madrid, it accounted for about 90% of estimated heat
wave deaths, the analysis found.
The study’s focus on 12 cities makes it just a snapshot of
the true heat wave death toll across the continent, which researchers
estimate could be up to tens of thousands of people.
“Heatwaves don’t leave a trail of destruction like wildfires
or storms,” said Ben Clarke, a study author and a researcher at
Imperial College London. “Their impacts are mostly invisible but quietly
devastating — a change of just 2 or 3 degrees Celsius can mean the
difference between life and death for thousands of people.
The world must stop burning fossil fuels to stop heat waves
becoming hotter and deadlier and cities need to urgently adapt, said
Friederike Otto, a climate scientist at Imperial College London.
“Shifting to renewable energy, building cities that can withstand
extreme heat, and protecting the poorest and most vulnerable is
absolutely essential,” she said.
Akshay Deoras, a research scientist at the University of
Reading who was not involved in the analysis, said “robust techniques
used in this study leave no doubt that climate change is already a
deadly force in Europe.”
Richard Allan, a professor of climate science at the
University of Reading who was also not involved in the report, said the
study added to huge amounts of evidence that climate change is making
heat waves more intense, “meaning that moderate heat becomes dangerous
and record heat becomes unprecedented.”
A man takes a break in the heat as he works at a road construction site in Milan. Photograph: Luca Bruno/AP
Outdoor working has been banned during the
hottest parts of the day in more than half of Italy’s regions as an
extreme heatwave that has smashed June temperature records in Spain and Portugal continues to grip large swathes of Europe.
The
savage temperatures are believed to have claimed at least three lives,
including that of a small boy who is thought to have died from
heatstroke while in a car in Catalonia’s Tarragona province on Tuesday
afternoon.
In
Palermo, Sicily, a 53-year-old woman died on Monday after fainting
while walking along a street. She had reportedly suffered from a heart
condition.
A 70-year-old man was reported to
have drowned at a tourist resort close to Turin as intense heat gave way
to storms and flash floods.
Admissions to hospital emergency units in parts of Italy have risen by 15-20% in recent days. The majority of patients are elderly people suffering from dehydration.
The heatwave, which has forced the evacuation of tens of thousands of people from their homes in Turkey due to wildfires,
has also forced the closure of schools in parts of France – as
education unions warned the classrooms were dangerously hot for children
and teachers.
The top of the Eiffel Tower was closed to tourists amid the high temperatures in Paris. Photograph: Tom Nicholson/Reuters
Tourists, meanwhile, were confronted with closures of some of Europe’s
popular attractions. The top of the Eiffel Tower was shut as
temperatures in Paris were poised to hit 38C (100.4F). In Brussels, the
Atomium monument, famed for its giant stainless steel balls, closed
early as temperatures inched towards 37C.
Paris is on red alert
for high temperatures, with the top of the Eiffel Tower shut, polluting
traffic banned and speed restrictions in place as a searing heatwave
grips Europe. Photograph: Thibaud Moritz/AFP/Getty Images
In Italy, Lombardy and Emilia-Romagna, two
industrial hubs, announced they were stopping open-air work between
12.30pm and 4pm, joining 11 other regions – stretching from Liguria in
the north-west to Calabria and Sicily in the south – that have imposed
similar bans in recent days.
Local authorities
were heeding advice from trade unions after the death of Brahim Ait El
Hajjam, a 47-year-old construction worker, who collapsed and died while
working on a building site close to Bologna, the capital of
Emilia-Romagna, on Monday.
Two workers fell ill on Tuesday on a construction site near Vicenza in Veneto. One is reportedly in a coma.
The
CGIL Bologna and Fillea CGIL unions said in a statement: “While we wait
to learn the actual cause of death, it is essential, during this
terrible period, to promote a culture of safety.
“The
climate emergency has clearly worsened the conditions for those who
work outside every day and companies must give absolute priority to the
protection of workers.”
The French national rail operator SNCF said train travel between France and Italy had been suspended for “at least several days” after violent storms on Monday, AFP reported.Cogne, a town in Italy’s Aosta Valley that suffered severe flooding in June last year, has been cut off by a landslide.
The Spanish state meteorological agency, Aemet, said in a social media update that
“June 2025 smashed records” when it came to high temperature, with an
average temperature of 23.6C, 0.8C above the previous hottest June in
2017.
The monthly average was also 3.5C higher than the average over the period from 1991 to 2020, it said.
A man drinks from a fountain during hot weather in Naples. Photograph: Ansa/Ciro Fusco/EPA
The agency’s comments come just days after
Spain’s highest ever June temperature of 46C was recorded in the Huelva
province of Andalucía.
In Portugal,
temperatures hit 46.6C in Mora, a town in the Évora district, in recent
days, making it the highest June temperature ever recorded in the
country, according to the Portuguese Institute for the Sea and
Atmosphere.
In France, the prime minister,
François Bayrou, tried to calm anger at the heatwave crisis in French
schools. More than 1,896 schools across the country were fully or
partially closed on Tuesday.
In Paris,
which was on maximum heatwave alert, parents were advised to keep their
children at home on Tuesday and Wednesday. Some other towns, including
Troyes and Melun, closed all their schools.
Bayrou
said the education ministry would open talks with mayors on how to
adapt school buildings, most of which are extremely poorly insulated.
As
temperatures rose on Tuesday, some Paris teachers had nothing more than
a water spray on their desk to repeatedly spritz children in classrooms
in the hope of keeping cool.
Several
Spanish regions, including Barcelona, were on alert for exceptionally
high temperatures as the first heatwave of the summer hit the country. Photograph: Alejandro García/EPA
Bayrou, who is facing a vote of no confidence on
Tuesday, which he is expected to survive, has cancelled his meetings to
monitor the situation in real time.
The hot weather front known in Germany
as Bettina is expected to have nearly the entire country in its grip by
Wednesday, with temperatures shooting toward the 40C mark and only the
coasts and Alpine peaks spared the scorching temperatures.
Industry
groups warned that schools, elderly care homes and hospitals were
ill-prepared for the heatwave – an urgent issue they said must be
addressed as the frequency of life-threatening weather increases.
Turkey’s
forestry minister, İbrahim Yumaklı, said firefighters had been called
out to 263 wildfires across the country in recent days. Firefighters
have also been tackling wildfires in parts of France and Italy,
especially on the islands of Sardinia and Sicily.