Friday, November 7, 2025

A tropical forest funding crunch

French President Emmanuel Macron and Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva at the COP30 Leaders Summit. Photographer: Dado Galdieri/Bloomberg




 

 World leaders are set to meet for day two of a summit in Brazil to discuss their climate commitments. The meeting is a setup for the main event: COP30, which kicks off Monday and will draw thousands of delegates to the Amazon for two weeks of negotiations.

 

A $5 billion start

By Daniel Carvalho and Dayanne Sousa

Brazil’s main plan to protect the Amazon rainforest, the centerpiece of its COP30 climate agenda, is moving ahead — with Norway playing a key role in its launch, though initial funding falls well short of expectations.

The Tropical Forest Forever Facility, or TFFF, designed to support the conservation of endangered forests worldwide, will receive around $5 billion in pledged contributions — far short of its $25 billion target. Norway and France have agreed to join Brazil in investing in the fund, while Germany will announce its contribution on Friday, Brazilian ministers said on Thursday.

“It is an unprecedented initiative,” President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva said earlier at the launch of the fund in the Amazonian city of Belém. “Forests are worth far more standing than felled.”

 

The new fund could play a pivotal role in forest protection as the current climate policies and green finance remain insufficient to address the magnitude of the global challenge, said Lula, who is presiding over this year’s United Nations climate summit.

The TFFF is Brazil’s signature initiative at COP30, with initial ambitions for pledges of $25 billion that could be leveraged to create a $125 billion vehicle aimed at preserving tropical forests. Finance Minister Fernando Haddad said at the Bloomberg Green at COP30 conference in São Paulo on Tuesday that he believed the fund may raise $10 billion by next year.

The funds will be placed in a diversified portfolio designed both to repay investors and to reward countries for conserving their forests. Under the plan, nations will receive a fee for every hectare of forest conserved. Brazil, Colombia, Indonesia and the Democratic Republic of Congo are among the countries that would benefit most.

“We achieved over 50% of what we had imagined for the end of next year, and we will keep working,” said Haddad in Belém. “The initial investment that’s being done is auspicious. You can anticipate that, after this first investment that we will have a very good start.”

Fernando Haddad Photographer: Jonne Roriz/Bloomberg

 

Norway pledged about $3 billion in loans over 10 years, which will be disbursed through 2035 and must be repaid by 2075, according to a government statement on Thursday.

The funding comes with conditions: the TFFF needs to secure at least 100 billion Norwegian kroner ($9.8 billion) from other donors by 2026; Norway won’t provide more than 20% of the total financing; and the funding model must be sustainable and maintain an acceptable level of risk.

Over 50 countries have endorsed the declaration of support for the launch of the fund. Other countries that haven’t announced investments are still engaged in conversations, including China, the Netherlands and the United Arab Emirates, according to Haddad.

Brazil’s efforts to convince developed countries to invest in the fund were made difficult at a moment when potential investors face budget constraints.

The absence of an announcement of investment from the UK, for example, was noticeable in a time when the country is trying to tackle its surging debt burden.

The fund uses a blended finance model, seeking to invest its assets to generate a higher return than what it owes investors, and then using the difference to fund rainforest preservation.

That “spread is not a money faucet, but a risk premium,” BloombergNEF analysts wrote in a factbook about biodiversity finance published Thursday. “Poor performance of emerging market assets, which face a diverse host of economic and political risks, will not only nullify forest payments, but also see development finance absorb private investor losses.”

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  World leaders posed for a photo on Friday at COP30, the United Nations climate conference in Belém, Brazil. Credit... Wagner Meier/Getty I...